An aerial view of a Los Angeles neighborhood after the January 2025 fires: block after block of homes burned to their foundations, the street grid still intact, dry hills behind.
California policy brief2026

This loss is not inevitable. Introducing the Million Wildfire Safe Homes Initiative.

Wildfire destroyed nearly 70,000 buildings across California in the last decade. We know how to make a home much harder to ignite, but few homes at risk have had the work done. The initiative aims to harden one million of them.

55,528 of those buildings were lost in 14 fires that each destroyed more than 1,000.

01The problem

Most California homes were built before the wildfire code.

Since 2008, new homes in California’s highest-hazard areas have been built to a wildfire code. After the Camp Fire, 51% of homes built to it were undamaged, compared with 18% of older homes.

More than 9 in 10 of the state’s homes were built before the code existed. Inside the Palisades and Eaton fire areas, the share was 95–98%. The code governs new construction, so an existing home meets it only through a retrofit.

More than 2 million of those homes are in the state’s highest-risk areas. Few programs help a homeowner who wants to retrofit today choose a standard, find a trained contractor or pay a five-figure bill.

Highest-risk homes2M+
2025 LA fires$250B+in damage and economic loss.
FAIR Plan growth+152%in policies since 2022.
Insurer assessment$1Bcharged to insurers after the 2025 fires.

Cover photo: Sgt. Chau Le, California National Guard (DVIDS). See every figure’s source.

An illustration of a wildfire’s edge: a blackened, burned hillside on the left, an intact green neighborhood on the right, a dirt road tracing the line between them.
Illustration.

Most homes lost to wildfire are ignited by windblown embers that get inside or land on something that burns. The measures that stop embers from igniting a home are well understood.

What home hardening is

Vents
Ember-resistant, screened
Zone 0
The first 5 feet cleared of anything that burns
Roof & gutters
Fire-rated, kept clean
Gaps
Closed under eaves and decks

The retrofit standard the initiative proposes costs about $15,000 a home.

Homes that avoided damage, 2025 fires

All four measures54%
Only one measure36%

Homes with all four measures avoided damage far more often than homes with just one, and clearing the first 5 feet alone can cut losses by about 17%.

Sources: IBHS 2025 LA Conflagrations report, 252 structures; UC Berkeley, Nature Communications, 2025.

An illustration of a California neighborhood built at the base of dry golden foothills, homes meeting open wildland.
Illustration.
02The blueprint

The blueprint for a million wildfire safe homes.

California set a goal of a million solar roofs, backed it with financing, incentives and public awareness, and has since passed 2 million. The same approach fits wildfire hardening.

Insurers that price wildfire risk must now credit mitigation, and the state already runs a proven financing model the work can use. No program yet connects these pieces.

Million Solar Roofs2M+solar rooftops in California today.

Sources: California Million Solar Roofs Initiative; California Department of Insurance, Safer from Wildfires (2022).

California already has an early version of each of the five pieces. The blueprint connects them and gives each one an owner.

The blueprintFive components · one target · 1,000,000 homes
The standard

One standard for a hardened home

The fire service would define the qualifying work once, in terms insurers can recognize when they price a policy.

State Fire Marshal
The financing

A monthly payment instead of a $15,000 bill

A no-lien loan model the state has proven over a decade. Local credit unions lend below market, and a small public reserve absorbs losses.

Treasurer · credit unions
The reward

Insurance that rewards the work

California now requires insurers that price wildfire risk to give discounts for mitigation. For a certified home, the discount could help repay the loan.

Insurers · CDI rules
The assessment

A free assessment of any home

It uses public data to show a homeowner what their home needs and which discounts the work could earn. A working prototype exists today.

Neutral nonprofit
The delivery

Trained contractors to do the work

Contractors would be certified to the standard, and local programs, fire districts and utilities would help neighbors sign up together, block by block.

The market · local partners

The benefit grows as more homes on a street are hardened.

Parcel

A hardened home is less likely to ignite and less likely to spread fire to the house next door.

Block

When most homes on a block are hardened, fire has fewer places to catch and spread.

Neighborhood

A neighborhood where most homes are hardened can be easier for insurers to cover.

See how the Wildfire Resilience Loan Program would work

03The legacy

When a fire passes, more of the block is still standing.

More families would keep their homes and stay. Contractors and manufacturers would gain steady work, and insurers would have more reason to write policies again.

California would be the first state to harden homes against wildfire at this scale.

$4

returned for every $1 spent hardening a home

1,100 jobs

from a single state’s prevention program

$700B+

in housing and infrastructure de-risked by mitigation

Sources: National Institute of Building Sciences, Natural Hazard Mitigation Saves (2019); Greenline Insights; U.S. Forest Service.